Flood Resilience Planning and the Stationarity Assumption
/Question #001:
A community flood resilience plan is only as useful as the data behind it. The vulnerability assessment shapes which infrastructure gets prioritized and what gets funded. Try the question, then read how a CC-P® works the problem.
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Relying solely on historical flood data assumes stationarity, meaning that past patterns will successfully predict future impacts. Climate change has broken that assumption.
Relying only on future projections alone is also insufficient. Projections carry their own uncertainties and lack baseline information that using historical data can provide.
A CC-P® pairs historical data with forward-looking climate projections, then translates the combined picture into impacts on people, assets, and services to inform planning priorities and investment decisions.